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Thursday, March 25, 2010

So when do we reform health reform

Yesterday I argued that the GOP should just forget healthcare for a little while, at least until the shortcomings of the new law are apparent and changes to it will be necessary and popular. Think it can't happen? Tyler Cowen points us to this from the comments at MR:

Steve Entin at the National Center for Policy Analysis has written on the very issue of the subsidies vs the tax exclusion. His conclusion:

Adding the subsidies for premiums and cost sharing, the family getting the health exchange policy would receive a total subsidy of $17,400, while the family receiving employer-based insurance would receive a total subsidy of $4,143.

That is a huge differential. The whole piece is here: http://www.ncpa.org/pdfs/Health-Insurance-Exchange-Subsidies-Create-Inequities.pdf

In a wonderful understatement, Tyler says he will file this under "Not a political equilibrium." A less restrained blogger might have gone with "trainwreck."

It would seem that reforming the reform is now a question of when and not if. All the more reason for the GOP to pivot away from this in the short term.

1 comment:

Dad29 said...

Unmnnnnhhhhh...

Since there are no "benefits" to the current law until 2012 or later, the GOP has nothing to lose by campaigning for repeal, THEN reform.

They have to link them--simply "repeal" will not play, and simply "reform" will not, either.